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 Kozi Checks & Balances TaxTactics News 
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August 14.2025
2 Minutes Read

What the One Big Beautiful Bill Means for Your Taxes in 2026

US tax changes map showing tax cuts and increases across states.

Understanding the One Big Beautiful Bill: A Tax Revolution

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), which became law in July 2025, marks a watershed moment in federal tax policy. This legislation is significant as it makes the individual tax provisions implemented under the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) permanent. Notably, this change prevents a tax hike from impacting 62% of tax filers from 2026 onwards, a relief for many taxpayers.

Key Benefits of the OBBBA

The OBBBA introduces a range of tax cuts that extend beyond the TCJA, incorporating new deductions for overtime and tipped income, alongside an expanded child tax credit. Furthermore, it ensures permanence for 100% bonus depreciation, which allows businesses to recoup expenses more quickly for investments made in their operations. These provisions not only stimulate economic activity but also aid in streamlining tax obligations for many individuals and enterprises.

Geographic Variability of Tax Benefits

Tax Foundation estimates reveal that the benefits of the OBBBA vary widely across the country. For instance, taxpayers in Wyoming will experience an average reduction of $5,375 in 2026, whereas those in West Virginia might only see $2,503. Additionally, mountain resort towns like Teton County, Wyoming, stand out with striking average tax cuts, potentially benefitting business owners and higher earners. This geographical disparity highlights the varying economic landscapes and needs of different communities.

The Changing Landscape of Tax Contributions

According to forecasts, while the average tax cut per individual is $3,752 in 2026, it is projected to fall to $2,505 by 2030 as some deductions expire but will rise again by 2035 owing to inflation adjustments. This fluctuation emphasizes the importance for taxpayers to stay informed about upcoming changes in tax law, which could influence their financial planning strategies.

What This Means for American Taxpayers

The OBBBA represents a significant shift in the tax landscape, providing lasting benefits for American tax filers while potentially invigorating economic growth. As taxpayers reel from previous tax cuts and prepare for new deductions, it's essential to remain engaged with the evolving narrative of federal tax legislation.

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12.16.2025

Why Excise Taxes Cannot Replace Property Taxes for Local Governments

Update Understanding the Role of Property Taxes in Local Governance Property taxes are a crucial financial pillar for local governments across the United States, contributing significantly to funding essential services such as education, public safety, and infrastructure. These taxes, generated from the assessed value of real estate, account for approximately 70% of local tax revenue nationwide, highlighting their importance in community budget allocations. A quick glance at effective tax rates reveals a stark contrast; for instance, homeowners in Illinois face an average property tax rate of 1.83%, while those in Hawaii enjoy a much lower 0.32% rate. This variability stems from differences in state fiscal policies and the broader economic landscape of each region. The Inadequacy of Excise Taxes as a Replacement In recent discussions about reforming tax strategies, some legislators have proposed increasing excise taxes, such as cigarette and fuel taxes, to ease the burden of rising property taxes. The problem with this approach, however, is the inherent instability and narrow tax base associated with excise taxes, which fluctuate with consumer behavior and economic cycles. For instance, while the Nebraska government collected $5.3 billion from property taxes, proposed increases in excise taxes, even substantial ones, fail to generate comparable revenue. As a result, relying on excise taxes could jeopardize the funding stability crucial for community services, particularly during economic downturns. Comparing Property Taxes with Sales Taxes Another contentious issue is the suggestion of swapping property taxes for higher sales taxes. Although some lawmakers claim this would create a more equitable system, studies show that sales taxes tend to disproportionately impact lower-income households. For example, research indicates families in the lowest income brackets often pay a higher percentage of their income in sales taxes compared to property taxes. This highlights the regressive nature of sales taxes, further complicating the narrative around tax reforms aimed at alleviating property tax burdens. Long-Term Impact on Local Services When local governments consider alternative tax strategies, it is crucial to assess the long-term implications on essential services. Property taxes have proven to be a more stable and predictable funding source for local governments compared to sales taxes or excise taxes, which are subject to economic fluctuations. The consistent revenue stream provided by property taxes supports ongoing public services, ensuring schools remain funded, emergency services are adequately equipped, and community infrastructure is maintained. In contrast, taxes that fluctuate with economic conditions can lead to volatile funding that does a disservice to local communities. The Implications for Local Governance Ultimately, while alternatives to property taxes are often proposed, the underlying necessity for stable revenue underscores the need for careful consideration of fiscal policies. If property taxes were significantly reduced or eliminated without a reliable replacement, it could diminish local governments' ability to deliver vital services. Policymakers must prioritize maintaining a tax structure that supports community needs while also exploring ways to address concerns about property tax equity. Conclusion As debates about tax reforms continue, it is clear that replacing property taxes with less stable alternatives is not a viable solution. Instead, local governments should focus on adjusting current property tax systems to ensure they meet the needs of all homeowners while maintaining the crucial funding essential for public services.

12.12.2025

Navigating the Controversial QSBS Exclusion: Investment Strategies for Startups

Update Understanding the Qualified Small Business Stock (QSBS) Exclusion In the evolving landscape of U.S. tax law, the Qualified Small Business Stock (QSBS) exclusion has emerged as both a boon and a burden. Under Section 1202 of the Internal Revenue Code, this provision theoretically allows investors to exclude significant portions—up to 100%—of their capital gains when selling stock from qualified small businesses. Initially designed to stimulate investment in burgeoning startups, it inadvertently favors certain industries and complicates investment decisions. The Case Against QSBS: Why It’s Viewed as a Distorted Subsidy The QSBS exclusion has been critiqued for introducing distortive effects on market decisions. By primarily benefiting those who can afford specialized legal advice, it skews investment toward particular structures and expansions that may not reflect genuine business fundamentals. For instance, provisions set out in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) exacerbate these distortions with increased limits and eligibility criteria, leading to greater complexity while making it harder for average investors to engage effectively. Alternatives to QSBS for Encouraging Investment Many economists argue that simplifying tax codes to promote expensing of short-lived assets would better serve growth. A streamlined approach not only reduces complexity but ensures that investment decisions are based on business needs rather than tax incentives. OBBBA's other provisions, which improve capital investment treatment, take steps in this direction but still fall short of eliminating QSBS’s convoluted legacy. Future Predictions: What Lies Ahead for QSBS Regulations As we look forward, it's essential to monitor how the QSBS policies evolve and their long-term implications on investment behavior. With growing concerns about fairness and neutrality in tax codes, potential reforms may phase out or revise the QSBS exclusion to better reflect equitable economic practices. This could steer investments toward industries that truly need capital infusion rather than merely those that can navigate the complexities of the current system. Common Misconceptions About QSBS Amidst the complexities surrounding QSBS, several myths persist, particularly among new investors. One widespread belief is that all shares held in startup contexts qualify for the tax exclusion. However, this assumption can lead to unexpected tax liabilities for those unfamiliar with the intricate requirements governed by gross asset limits, duration of stock holding, and active business status. Your Next Steps: Navigating the QSBS Landscape For stakeholders in the startup ecosystem—founders, early employees, and even seasoned investors—familiarity with QSBS qualifications is vital. The potential for achieving significant tax savings by leveraging QSBS calls for strategic planning and awareness. For many, the best approach involves engaging experienced tax professionals who can aid in the nuances of the current tax environment, ensuring you can maximize your investment returns while adhering to evolving regulations.

12.11.2025

Exploring the OBBBA's Impact on Debt and Economic Recovery

Update The OBBBA's Impact on National Debt and Deficit The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) is generating significant discussions regarding its long-term implications for the U.S. economy. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) recently projected that publicly held debt could reach an unprecedented 106% of GDP by 2029, with a further rise to 117% by 2034. However, the forecast indicates that if the OBBBA is implemented, the debt could be pushed even higher, to approximately 124% by 2034. This scenario raises concerns about the sustainability of U.S. fiscal policies and emphasizes the critical nature of addressing national debt. Tax Cuts Amid Rising Debt The OBBBA is marked as a significant tax reduction, cutting about $5 trillion, or 1.4% of GDP, over the next ten years. While this cut aims to stimulate economic growth, its effectiveness is questioned. The act's provisions to manage costs through spending reductions have not fully offset the increased deficits that may arise. As a result, despite anticipated GDP growth of about 1.2% from the act, the projected increase in deficits amounts to nearly $3.8 trillion, indicating a troubling fiscal trajectory. Economic Growth Versus Fiscal Responsibility It's estimated that the OBBBA will only partially mitigate the fiscal strain on the national budget due to rising interest payments on the expanding debt. The projected increase in revenue will hover around the historical average of 17.3%, but it falls just short of adequately addressing the deficit. As the CBO has illustrated in its forecasts, sustaining such high deficit levels for an extended period remains unprecedented and unsustainable. Broader Implications for Fiscal Policy Incorporating the effects of the Trump administration's tariffs, the OBBBA may alleviate some financial pressure, generating about $2.1 trillion in additional revenue. Yet, even with these contributions, a net deficit increase of approximately $1.4 trillion is projected over the decade. This compounding effect highlights the urgent need for a more comprehensive reform in fiscal policy, particularly in areas like healthcare and social security, where expenditures continue to drive up the deficit. A Call for Fiscal Responsibility Lawmakers face the critical challenge of balancing tax cuts with spending reforms to mitigate long-term debt and deficits. Historical data suggests a significant need for a bipartisan approach that emphasizes fiscal responsibility. Continued measures such as health care reforms, enhanced revenue streams, and stringent spending controls are vital in ensuring that the U.S. can navigate through its fiscal challenges effectively. In summary, while the OBBBA aims to infuse the economy with tax cuts and spur growth, it comes at a steep fiscal cost. It is imperative for policymakers to harmonize these benefits with a responsible approach to managing future debts and deficits to secure economic stability.

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