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 Kozi Checks & Balances TaxTactics News 
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March 07.2025
2 Minutes Read

Budget Reconciliation: What You Need to Know About the 2025 Trump Tax Cuts

2025 Trump Tax Cuts budget reconciliation text with government building backdrop.

Understanding the 2025 Trump Tax Cuts and Budget Reconciliation

The debate on the 2025 Trump Tax Cuts continues as it nears its proposed implementation through budget reconciliation—a legislative maneuver that allows for expedited consideration of certain tax and spending measures. With significant changes looming, it’s crucial for Americans, especially taxpayers, to understand the implications of these tax cuts on their finances and the broader economy.

What is at Stake with the 2025 Tax Cuts?

At the forefront is the potential extension of provisions from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) of 2017, which could reduce federal tax revenues by approximately $4.5 trillion between 2025 and 2034. This reduction in tax revenue highlights the impact that these extensions could have on federal budgeting and economic growth. While proponents argue that long-run GDP would increase by 1.1 percent, offsetting about $710 billion from the revenue losses, it raises questions about sustainability and fiscal responsibility.

Exploring Budget Reconciliation

Budget reconciliation serves as a fast-track legislative process that overcomes the challenges posed by Senate filibusters, enabling a simple majority to change tax laws. This procedure was employed by Republicans in 2017 and more recently by Democrats for major fiscal changes, illustrating its pivotal role in shaping economic policy.

Tax Implications for Everyday Americans

Among Trump’s proposed tax strategies are eliminating income taxes on Social Security benefits, tips, and overtime pay. While these policies aim to create relief for lower-income households, analysts warn that higher-income households could reap more substantial benefits from the proposed changes. The economic landscape painted by such inequitable benefits evokes a mixture of hope and apprehension among different income brackets.

A Balancing Act: Spending Cuts vs. Tax Cuts

A crucial aspect of the budget reconciliation process involves balancing tax cuts with spending cuts. The House budget resolution, passed in February 2025, proposes $2 trillion in spending cuts to support the projected tax reductions. If these cuts do not materialize, the tax cut cap is set to adjust downward, revealing the internal conflict between fiscal responsibility and tax relief promises.

What Lies Ahead?

As Congress evaluates the proposed budgetary changes, stakeholders from various sectors—especially those in local business—remain attentive to the outcomes. Understanding the interaction between tax changes and federal spending could inform decisions around investments and expansion that affect economic growth on both a local and national scale.

Engage with the Issue

The ramifications of these tax policies extend beyond numbers; they weave into the daily lives and financial planning of Americans. For those interested, engage with local representatives, attend town hall meetings, or follow legislative updates to stay informed about how these financial shifts may affect your community.

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02.18.2026

Explore Major IRS Data Points for Higher Refunds in 2026 Tax Season

Update Anticipating a Refund Surge: What to Expect in 2026 The 2026 tax filing season is stirring excitement among taxpayers with the promise of larger refunds, thanks to new provisions from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA). Early reports show that taxpayers might be looking forward to receiving an average refund of $2,290—10.9 percent higher than previous years. This increase can be attributed not only to the overall rise in the total amount of refunds issued but also to the factors at play within the new tax laws. How Did We Get Here? Understanding the Tax Changes As we delve deeper into the implications of the OBBBA, it’s critical to understand the primary tax cuts it entails. For many taxpayers, including families and seniors, the act has introduced significant deductions that will ultimately boost their refunds. For instance, the expanded Child Tax Credit (CTC) has been increased to $2,200 per child, while a new deduction of $6,000 for seniors is also set to benefit around 24 million tax units. The tax law revamps also introduced a higher standard deduction, which—despite not leading to immediate withholding adjustments—will reflect larger refunds for most taxpayers. Tracking Key Refund Metrics: The Three Critical Data Points During this taxpayer-friendly season, the following three metrics will prove essential in gauging the impact of the OBBBA: Average Refund Size: Expect a significant increase; estimated refunds average around $2,290, up from a typical $3,000 in prior years. Total Amount of Refunds Issued: As of early reporting, the total sum refunded soars to $19.95 billion. Total Number of Refunds Issued: With more than 104 million refunds issued in 2024 and over 103 million in 2025, this number is expected to climb even higher in 2026. Preparing for the Changes: What Should Taxpayers Keep in Mind? Tax Planning StrategiesAs taxpayers prepare for the upcoming filing season, understanding these changes becomes pivotal. While the larger refunds may be enticing, it’s important to remember that they stem from adjustments enacted later in the tax year. Adapting tax planning strategies accordingly—such as reassessing withholding amounts—will equip taxpayers to take full advantage of the new provisions, ensuring they reap benefits not just at tax time but throughout the year. Ultimately, taxpayers in 2026 will not only see an immediate financial benefit through larger refunds but might also experience shifts in their overall tax liability due to the OBBBA's restructuring of federal tax policies. Keeping abreast of these developments will be crucial as Americans navigate this promising tax season.

02.13.2026

Understanding Nebraska's Property Tax Assessment Limits: Pros and Cons

Update The Push for Property Tax Assessment Limits in Nebraska In Nebraska, discussions around property tax assessment limits have sparked considerable debate. These proposals aim to provide predictability for homeowners while trying to maintain affordability. However, as the Tax Foundation's testimony suggests, the implications of such limits are complex and could lead to more issues than they solve. The Structure of Property Tax Relief Property taxes are crucial for funding essential public services, but their valuation and taxation process is often seen as convoluted. In the U.S., property tax limitation methods can generally be categorized into levy limits, rate limits, and assessment limits. While levy limits serve as a neutral tool to control total revenue, assessment limits—like those proposed in Nebraska's LR292CA—can create imbalances among property owners. The Consequences of Assessment Limits Assessment limits intend to protect current homeowners from sudden tax spikes due to market value increases, striking a chord with those on fixed incomes who fear being priced out of their homes. However, according to critics, such policies can lead to unfair tax burdens, disproportionately harming new homeowners while favoring long-term property holders. The potential outcome? A tax system that serves to penalize new entrants to the property market, diminishing overall fairness and market efficiency. Lock-In Effects: A Housing Market Dilemma One of the significant concerns surrounding property assessment limits is the so-called lock-in effect. This phenomenon prevents homeowners, particularly those nearing retirement, from downsizing to more suitable living arrangements for fear of incurring higher tax bills. Such restrictions disrupt the natural flow of housing opportunities and potentially stifle market growth, as larger homes sit occupied rather than being made available for families looking to grow. Need for Comprehensive Reform The conversation must shift towards creating authentic relief for all taxpayers rather than pitting them against each other. As advocacy groups like the Platte Institute suggest, Nebraska would benefit from tightening existing property tax caps and enhancing transparency within the Truth-In-Taxation framework. Implementing stricter laws could ensure that taxpayers are better informed and more empowered, leading to truly fair property tax administration. Ultimately, while the intention behind assessment limits is commendable, their design and potential effects raise red flags about equity and market functionality. Nebraska must tread carefully in balancing the needs of existing homeowners with those entering the market, ensuring a fair and flexible property tax environment for all.

02.12.2026

Global Tax Policy Ideas That Demand a Reality Check: What You Need to Know

Update Understanding Global Tax Policy: A Call for ClarityIn a world where aging populations and pressing infrastructure needs are pushing governments to find new tax revenues, three global tax policy ideas have sparked significant debate. These concepts—formulary apportionment, global tax harmonization, and imposing broad tax increases—demand a reality check. It's crucial for policymakers to focus on practical solutions instead of grandiose plans that could harm economic growth.What is Formulary Apportionment?One of the central ideas currently under scrutiny is global formulary apportionment—essentially an approach to divide corporate income among various countries based on a formula, rather than where the actual profits are earned. However, this approach faces a major hurdle: the absence of a universally accepted definition of income. With varying standards of income measurement globally, from how capital investments are treated to differences in inventory accounting, it’s evident that reaching a common definition that satisfies all is a near-impossible challenge.The Risks of Global Tax HarmonizationAnother intriguing concept is global tax harmonization, which many hope could unify tax regulations to eliminate discrepancies that lead to revenue loss. However, the ambition for a tax utopia overlooks vital differences in countries' economies and priorities, which can create unfair burdens on specific sectors. Aiming for uniformity might ignore the unique challenges faced by different regions, potentially leading to unjust taxation.Conclusion: What Should Policymakers Focus On?Ultimately, policymakers should redirect their focus on effective design and implementation of existing tax frameworks rather than pursuing complex global strategies that may not yield the desired outcomes. By doing so, they can foster a healthier economic environment while also ensuring fairness across the board.

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