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 Kozi Checks & Balances TaxTactics News 
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January 31.2025
2 Minutes Read

How Germany's Upcoming Election Could Reshape Global Tax and Trade Policies

German flag over cityscape, symbolizing German election.

The Stakes of the Upcoming German Election

The atmosphere surrounding the upcoming German federal election on February 23 is laden with tension and uncertainty. Following the collapse of the previous government coalition in November 2024, the political landscape has shifted dramatically. This election isn't just about internal matters; it comes at a time when global dynamics are shifting, especially with the ongoing pressure from Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the signaled trade threats from a newly elected U.S. President Trump.

The Broader Implications for Tax and Trade Policy

Germany, now positioned as the third-largest economy in the world, carries significant influence not only over the European Union (EU) but also in transatlantic trade relations. As party manifestos are drafted, discussions are heating up around various tax reforms intended to address domestic growth. However, these plans also hint at the necessity for strategic international policymaking. Candidates are voicing their ideas on issues like the EU’s Emission Trading System and a potential digital levy, but the ramifications of these policies on global relations remain underexplored.

Understanding the Shift in Voter Concerns

Voters’ concerns are multi-faceted. While parties adeptly acknowledge the impact of tax policies on everyday life, there is an observable lack of attention towards the potentially larger implications of international trade disputes. This disconnect might prove detrimental to German citizens should their government embark on tax reforms that encounter foreign retaliation.

Gearing Up for a Fragmented Future

The pivotal decisions made by Germany's future government regarding tax and trade policy will hinge significantly on EU relations and the ability to maintain economic stability amidst a potentially fractious global environment. As the EU navigates its own challenges, the effectiveness of its policies—such as the undertaxed profits rule (UTPR) and the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM)—becomes a question of real economic stakes for its members, especially Germany.

A Call for Thoughtful Policy Making

The political decisions arising from this upcoming election will reach beyond borders. Voters must engage with candidates’ positions on tax and trade issues more critically, as the implications will shape not only their own economic futures but also those of their international partners.

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12.18.2025

How the Latest International Tax Competitiveness Index Reflects Economic Shifts

Update International Tax Competitiveness Index: A Look at the Top Movers The recently released 2025 International Tax Competitiveness Index has generated significant discussion about the taxation landscape across various countries. Over the past decade, several nations have made remarkable strides in reforming their tax systems, fostering robust economic environments conducive to investment and growth. Spotlight on Investing Nations Among the five countries that demonstrated substantial improvements in their rankings from 2014 to 2025, the United States stands out, rising from 29th to 14th. This leap can be attributed to major tax reforms carried out in 2017, which included reductions in both corporate and personal income tax rates as well as a shift towards a territorial tax system. The 2025 extension of full expensing for certain assets under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) highlights the ongoing commitment to maintaining a competitive tax structure that encourages investment. Canada has also made significant advancements, climbing from 25th to 13th place. The country has lowered its consumption tax burden while enhancing its capital investment through provisions for full expensing and accelerated depreciation tailored to stimulate long-term growth. The benefits of these administrative changes are palpable as Canada continues to attract new capital investments. Surprisingly Declining Countries On the flip side, Colombia has seen a dramatic decline in its ranking, plummeting from 24th to 36th. Various factors contributed to this downturn, including a less favorable corporate tax environment and high tax rates disincentivizing investment. Similarly, Poland and Belgium have experienced declines, reflecting concerns about their corporate tax policies' effectiveness in fostering economic growth. Effective Reforms Lead to Economic Improvements Countries like Greece and Hungary have implemented targeted reforms that have proven successful in enhancing their respective International Tax Competitiveness Index scores. Greece improved its standing from 30th to 23rd by broadening its VAT base and lowering the corporate income tax rate, creating a more inviting atmosphere for foreign investments. Hungary’s flat 9% corporate tax rate remains the lowest within the OECD, solidifying its reputation as an attractive country for investment. Future of Tax Reform: The Impact on Global Economy The International Tax Competitiveness Index showcases the importance of tax policy as a driver of economic growth. As nations look towards future reforms, the ability to create a competitive tax environment is becoming increasingly critical. Globally, countries are also reevaluating their international tax agreements and strategies in response to changing economic conditions, setting the stage for continued evolution in this arena. Continuous efforts to evaluate and reform tax systems yield insights for countries aiming to boost competitiveness and economic resilience. Policymakers must navigate complex global pressures while ensuring domestic tax systems remain robust and adaptable to meet emerging economic challenges. The Role of Taxation in Economic Growth Tax systems directly affect business decisions, investment flows, and economic health. A competitive index serves not only as a motivational tool for countries but also reflects existing economic policies’ effectiveness. Countries striving for better rankings can set an example for others as they adopt more effective tax measures, benefitting global economic landscapes.

12.16.2025

Can Excise Taxes Truly Replace Property Taxes? An In-Depth Analysis

Update Why Excise Taxes Cannot Fill the Gap Left by Property Tax DeclinesIn the landscape of burgeoning local tax debates set for 2026, one truth remains steadfast: excise taxes cannot feasibly replace property taxes. As housing prices in the U.S. have surged, the impact on local governments’ revenue streams from property taxes has become more significant, particularly in states like Nebraska, where proposed tax reforms are riding on the need to address skyrocketing property values.From January 2020 to July 2025, average home prices rose by a striking 55.9%, which outpaced wages and inflation—an alarming trend that homeowners dread as they anticipate rising property taxes. It’s crucial to recognize that property taxes are the backbone of local governmental revenue, representing around 70% of all local tax collections and exceeding income tax revenues by a large margin.The Inadequacy of Excise TaxesFaced with potential shortfalls, states are considering increasing excise taxes—levies on specific goods like tobacco, gasoline, and alcohol—as alternatives to property taxes. However, the data shows an inherent problem: excise taxes have a narrow base and are traditionally volatile, fluctuating with market cycles and consumer preferences. For instance, Nebraska's cigarette tax managed only $52 million in revenue last year, a far cry from the $5.3 billion raised through property taxes.This gap highlights that the alternative revenues from excise taxes cannot bridge the substantial funding requirements needed for essential local services such as education and public safety. With the steady decline in excise tax receipts, especially related to shrinking tobacco use, the viability of this approach is highly questionable. As reported, real cigarette revenues in Nebraska dropped two-thirds since their peak 50 years ago.Community Services at RiskMunicipalities depend on these essential services to function. As property taxes provide critical funding for schools, police, and fire departments, any attempts to replace such a crucial revenue source with excise taxes represent a shortsighted solution likely to endanger community services. Homeowners may welcome lower property taxes, but they must understand the consequences of such drastic tax replacement strategies.The overall lesson is clear: for local governments to maintain stability and have adequate funding for vital services, property taxes should not only remain but be treated with the importance they merit during these debates. The conversation must shift toward efficiently managing property taxes rather than replacing them with less stable revenue generators.

12.12.2025

The Impact of QSBS Exclusion on Investment: A Misguided Incentive?

Update Questioning the Efficacy of QSBS Exclusion Investment incentives designed to stimulate growth can sometimes have unexpected ramifications. The Qualified Small Business Stock (QSBS) exclusion, which allows investors to exclude capital gains from certain small business stocks, is a classic example of a policy that may do more harm than good in the long run. Intended to encourage investment in budding startups, it instead distorts business decisions by favoring certain structures and industries, ultimately leading to economic imbalances. How QSBS Distorts Business Decisions Investors often find themselves navigating a complex landscape shaped by this tax exclusion. To qualify, companies must adhere to stringent rules: they must be domestic C-corporations with gross assets under $75 million and must actively conduct a qualified trade or business using at least 80% of their assets. This creates a scenario where business growth or investor decisions hinge less on fundamental strengths and more on tax qualifications, potentially leading to missed opportunities in more deserving sectors. How the OBBBA Shapes QSBS Landscape The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) made notable modifications to QSBS rules, raising the exclusion limit from $10 million to $15 million for investments made after July 4, 2025. Such financial incentives can lead to skewed investment patterns, as they shift focus away from innovative or impactful industries in favor of those that meet the technical requirements of QSBS. The Case for Simplifying Tax Incentives Critics argue that rather than maintaining a convoluted tax structure that incentivizes only specific outcomes, a broader, simpler approach like expanding expensing provisions could yield a more neutral playing field. Such a change could provide a pro-growth environment where businesses are incentivized by actual economic performance rather than arbitrary tax benefits. Rethinking Investment Strategies Investors must remain adaptable as they confront the landscape reshaped by QSBS and its recent expansions. Understanding the nuances of these regulations can prove crucial, especially for early-stage employees and startup founders who may be navigating their stock options and equity compensation. With many states imposing their taxes on QSBS gains despite federal exclusions, comprehension of regional tax implications becomes imperative. Empowering Communities Through Informed Investment The complexities surrounding QSBS highlight the need for grassroots financial education. For community stakeholders, grasping these intricacies isn't just about maximizing financial returns; it's about ensuring stability within local economies. By fostering informed investment and encouraging the right types of business growth, communities can harness these incentives to their advantage. It’s time to take a step back and rethink not just how we promote investment, but how we can do so in ways that serve both businesses and the larger economic community effectively.

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