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 Kozi Checks & Balances TaxTactics News 
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March 13.2025
3 Minutes Read

Congress Faces Critical Decisions on US International Corporate Tax Reforms

International flags waving under a clear sky symbolizing global unity in tax reforms.

The Future of US International Corporate Tax Policy

As we navigate through 2025, Congress is faced with the monumental task of addressing international corporate tax reforms largely influenced by the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) of 2017. International tax policy in the United States has evolved significantly since then, aiming to foster competitiveness while protecting the tax base from foreign profit-shifting. However, scheduled changes in tax provisions and global agreements, particularly the OECD's Pillar Two initiative, call into question the effectiveness of existing policies.

Waning Benefits of the Pillar Two Agreement

The Pillar Two agreement sets a global minimum tax rate of 15%, aimed at curbing aggressive tax competition among nations. Unfortunately, many believe this initiative may offer limited advantages for the US due to its distinct economic landscape. Unlike smaller economies that rely on low tax rates to attract business, the US is less sensitive to profit shifting due to its substantial domestic market and robust multinational corporations.

As highlighted in a bipartisan analysis, the projected revenue impact from these TCJA tax changes through 2027 sits at an impressive +$324 billion overall. However, the specifics of policies like Global Intangible Low-Taxed Income (GILTI) and Foreign-Derived Intangible Income (FDII) raise critical questions about their long-term viability. Anticipated tax rate increases could potentially negate what little revenue these areas have generated.

Stress Testing the TCJA Reforms

Since its inception, the TCJA's reform of international corporate income tax has emphasized the dual goals of attracting domestic and foreign investments while addressing tax avoidance strategies. Yet new studies reveal modifications under the TCJA, including GILTI and Base Erosion and Anti-Abuse Tax (BEAT), could inadvertently hinder cross-border investments. These provisions, originally thought to simplify compliance, are proving complex and costly for businesses, further complicating the tax landscape.

Looking Forward: Legislative Opportunities

As lawmakers consider an overhaul of these tax codes, it becomes increasingly vital to engage stakeholders in both the public and private sectors. The conversations around these reforms need to ensure a balanced approach that not only enhances competitiveness but also creates a tax system that encourages fair investment in both domestic and international markets.

Engaging with local communities is more important than ever. Understanding how these taxes affect grassroots businesses and the economy can shape a fairer and more effective tax policy. Policymakers must navigate these challenges thoughtfully, referring to the lessons learned from past reforms while proactively addressing the evolving economic environment.

Implications of Policy Changes

Ultimately, any adjustments to the international tax system will ripple through the economy, affecting local businesses and the communities they support. The importance of fostering an environment where businesses can thrive cannot be overstated. It is essential that we maintain a clear line of communication throughout these discussions to balance the various needs and priorities of all stakeholders.

As we approach these pivotal tax reforms, we invite our readers and community members to stay informed about the changes that may impact them and reach out to local representatives with their perspectives and needs. Engaging in this dialogue is crucial for building a tax system that truly benefits all.

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12.16.2025

Can Excise Taxes Truly Replace Property Taxes? An In-Depth Analysis

Update Why Excise Taxes Cannot Fill the Gap Left by Property Tax DeclinesIn the landscape of burgeoning local tax debates set for 2026, one truth remains steadfast: excise taxes cannot feasibly replace property taxes. As housing prices in the U.S. have surged, the impact on local governments’ revenue streams from property taxes has become more significant, particularly in states like Nebraska, where proposed tax reforms are riding on the need to address skyrocketing property values.From January 2020 to July 2025, average home prices rose by a striking 55.9%, which outpaced wages and inflation—an alarming trend that homeowners dread as they anticipate rising property taxes. It’s crucial to recognize that property taxes are the backbone of local governmental revenue, representing around 70% of all local tax collections and exceeding income tax revenues by a large margin.The Inadequacy of Excise TaxesFaced with potential shortfalls, states are considering increasing excise taxes—levies on specific goods like tobacco, gasoline, and alcohol—as alternatives to property taxes. However, the data shows an inherent problem: excise taxes have a narrow base and are traditionally volatile, fluctuating with market cycles and consumer preferences. For instance, Nebraska's cigarette tax managed only $52 million in revenue last year, a far cry from the $5.3 billion raised through property taxes.This gap highlights that the alternative revenues from excise taxes cannot bridge the substantial funding requirements needed for essential local services such as education and public safety. With the steady decline in excise tax receipts, especially related to shrinking tobacco use, the viability of this approach is highly questionable. As reported, real cigarette revenues in Nebraska dropped two-thirds since their peak 50 years ago.Community Services at RiskMunicipalities depend on these essential services to function. As property taxes provide critical funding for schools, police, and fire departments, any attempts to replace such a crucial revenue source with excise taxes represent a shortsighted solution likely to endanger community services. Homeowners may welcome lower property taxes, but they must understand the consequences of such drastic tax replacement strategies.The overall lesson is clear: for local governments to maintain stability and have adequate funding for vital services, property taxes should not only remain but be treated with the importance they merit during these debates. The conversation must shift toward efficiently managing property taxes rather than replacing them with less stable revenue generators.

12.12.2025

The Impact of QSBS Exclusion on Investment: A Misguided Incentive?

Update Questioning the Efficacy of QSBS Exclusion Investment incentives designed to stimulate growth can sometimes have unexpected ramifications. The Qualified Small Business Stock (QSBS) exclusion, which allows investors to exclude capital gains from certain small business stocks, is a classic example of a policy that may do more harm than good in the long run. Intended to encourage investment in budding startups, it instead distorts business decisions by favoring certain structures and industries, ultimately leading to economic imbalances. How QSBS Distorts Business Decisions Investors often find themselves navigating a complex landscape shaped by this tax exclusion. To qualify, companies must adhere to stringent rules: they must be domestic C-corporations with gross assets under $75 million and must actively conduct a qualified trade or business using at least 80% of their assets. This creates a scenario where business growth or investor decisions hinge less on fundamental strengths and more on tax qualifications, potentially leading to missed opportunities in more deserving sectors. How the OBBBA Shapes QSBS Landscape The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) made notable modifications to QSBS rules, raising the exclusion limit from $10 million to $15 million for investments made after July 4, 2025. Such financial incentives can lead to skewed investment patterns, as they shift focus away from innovative or impactful industries in favor of those that meet the technical requirements of QSBS. The Case for Simplifying Tax Incentives Critics argue that rather than maintaining a convoluted tax structure that incentivizes only specific outcomes, a broader, simpler approach like expanding expensing provisions could yield a more neutral playing field. Such a change could provide a pro-growth environment where businesses are incentivized by actual economic performance rather than arbitrary tax benefits. Rethinking Investment Strategies Investors must remain adaptable as they confront the landscape reshaped by QSBS and its recent expansions. Understanding the nuances of these regulations can prove crucial, especially for early-stage employees and startup founders who may be navigating their stock options and equity compensation. With many states imposing their taxes on QSBS gains despite federal exclusions, comprehension of regional tax implications becomes imperative. Empowering Communities Through Informed Investment The complexities surrounding QSBS highlight the need for grassroots financial education. For community stakeholders, grasping these intricacies isn't just about maximizing financial returns; it's about ensuring stability within local economies. By fostering informed investment and encouraging the right types of business growth, communities can harness these incentives to their advantage. It’s time to take a step back and rethink not just how we promote investment, but how we can do so in ways that serve both businesses and the larger economic community effectively.

12.11.2025

Unpacking the OBBBA: A Close Look at Debt, Deficits, and Tax Revenue

Update Understanding the OBBBA's Fiscal Impact and Future TrendsThe One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), set against a backdrop of rising national debt and ongoing economic challenges, is entering the fiscal dialogue with significant implications for the future of U.S. economic health. As projections suggest that public debt could soar to 124% of GDP by 2034, it's essential to unpack how this legislation interacts with existing fiscal dynamics.What Does the OBBBA Entail?At its core, the OBBBA represents a substantial tax cut—estimated at $5 trillion over the next decade. While this sounds promising as it aims to stimulate economic growth by reducing individual income tax rates, it adds a layer of complexity due to its potential to escalate national deficits. According to recent modeling, even accounting for spending reforms, the OBBBA is projected to increase the deficit by approximately $3.8 trillion, which puts additional strain on the already rising debt levels.Implications for Tax Revenue and Deficit SpendingThe act's design ensures it is impactful, but it poses questions regarding sustainability. It's projected to boost GDP modestly by 1.2%, enhancing economic conditions but creating a higher deficit-to-GDP ratio. When considering historical trendlines of revenue—which is expected to average around 18% of GDP—there's a clear indicator that if spending cuts are not balanced effectively, we could face severe fiscal cliffs that threaten financial stability.Potential Tariff Benefits Against Debt IncreaseMoreover, the introduction of new tariffs under the Trump administration may offset some costs of the OBBBA, providing an additional $2.1 trillion in revenue, reducing the net increase in deficits to about $1.4 trillion. However, these tariffs also carry their own economic implications, potentially leading to tariff-induced inflation and challenges for consumer spending, complicating the economic landscape further.Future Outlook and RecommendationsLawmakers are encouraged to consider healthcare and old-age programs that significantly contribute to the nation’s debt as they navigate impending fiscal policies. Crafting a bipartisan fiscal commission could be a prudent step towards addressing these critical long-term issues. Ensuring that the economic growth promised by the OBBBA is sustainable is vital for protecting the fiscal health of the country and avoiding a crisis that might necessitate drastic adjustments in the future.

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