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 Kozi Checks & Balances TaxTactics News 
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March 18.2025
2 Minutes Read

Understanding the True Impact of Trump’s Tariffs on American Consumers

Impact of Trump Tariffs on American Economy: prominent figure delivering speech

Understanding the Ripple Effects of Tariffs on the Economy

As President Trump’s tariff policies continue to shape economic conversations, it’s crucial to recognize the intricate dynamics at play. While intended to bolster American manufacturing, these tariffs often create unintended economic burdens on consumers and businesses. The historical context indicates that relying solely on domestic production over imports does not ensure economic prosperity but rather introduces inefficiencies into the market.

The Historical Context: Lessons from the Past

Historically, tariffs have been used as tools to shield domestic industries from foreign competition, but they often come with detrimental long-term effects. Research spanning multiple countries has shown that implementing higher tariffs leads to increased prices for consumers, diminished purchasing power, and a general contraction in economic output. The lessons from previous trade wars illustrate that the immediate gains can quickly be mitigated by adverse market responses.

A Closer Look: Who Really Benefits?

While tariffs aim to redirect spending from foreign producers to domestic alternatives, the reality is more complex. For instance, a U.S.-based manufacturer sourcing foreign components sees costs rising due to tariffs. Instead of thriving, the company may react by increasing prices, thereby lowering overall sales volume. This ultimately places financial strain on stakeholders across the supply chain—workers face reduced income, and business owners grapple with thinner profit margins.

The Emotional Undertones: Impact on Everyday Lives

The economic ramifications of tariffs are not felt solely at the corporate level. Families across America face higher costs for everyday goods. When prices rise—for equipment, household items, and groceries—their budgets tighten, affecting their standard of living. This emotional toll can lead to a disconnect between political rhetoric and the lived experiences of the average American, whose choices become limited under burgeoning costs.

Looking Ahead: Predictions and Opportunities

As market dynamics shift, understanding the long-term implications of tariffs is vital. If current trade policies persist, economists predict a potential decrease in U.S. economic growth, with inflation soaring alongside costs. The trend indicates that reversing course may not only be beneficial economically but also necessary to safeguard the well-being of consumers.

Final Thoughts: The Path Forward

As we navigate these complex trade policies, it’s essential for individuals and communities to stay informed and engaged. The conversation around tariffs is not just economic—it’s deeply personal, influencing lives and livelihoods across the nation.

This understanding empowers communities to advocate for policies that promote economic stability and growth, sidestepping the pitfalls of high tariffs. Collective action can alleviate the burden on consumers, fostering a more equitable economic environment.

To stay updated on the implications of trade policies and empower your local community, engage in discussions and share insights with your neighbors. Together, we can foster a grounded approach to economic discussions that prioritize people over politics.

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02.21.2026

Supreme Court Ruling on Tariffs: What This Means For American Businesses

Update Supreme Court Delivers Groundbreaking Tariff RulingOn February 20, 2026, the Supreme Court made a historic decision that sent ripples through the economic landscape by ruling that President Donald Trump acted beyond his authority in imposing tariffs using the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). This move has been described as a significant blow to Trump's economic policies and a key moment in the balancing of powers between the presidency and Congress.The Impact of the Ruling on American TaxpayersThe verdict effectively nullified Trump's IEEPA tariffs, which had amassed over $160 billion since their inception and projected to generate an astonishing $1.4 trillion from 2026 through 2035. By striking down these tariffs, the Supreme Court has shielded taxpayers from a substantial tax increase while preventing a long-term contraction in the U.S. economy estimated at 0.3 percent, reflecting concern around additional burdens on households and businesses that would have arisen from higher costs on imported goods.What Are IEEPA Tariffs?The tariffs in question included various border security and fentanyl initiatives targeting imports primarily from China, Mexico, and Canada, with rates ranging from 10% to 35%. These measures were unprecedented, marking the first usage of IEEPA for imposing tariffs, raising questions about the limits of presidential powers under emergency conditions. As Chief Justice John Roberts noted, there was no explicit statute allowing such tariff authority to be wielded without clear congressional consent.Voices from the Business CommunityThe ruling has been met with relief from various business owners who argued that the tariffs constituted unlawful overreach. Victor Schwartz, a New York-based importer, summed it up perfectly when he described the tariffs as “arbitrary and unpredictable,” praising the court for recognizing them as unconstitutional. Many businesses and small manufacturers, part of lawsuits against the government, are eager to secure refunds for tariffs already paid and restore financial stability.What Lies Ahead for U.S. Trade?While the Supreme Court’s ruling marks a temporary victory for economic principles and fairness, uncertainties linger. Trump has hinted at pursuing alternative avenues under different trade laws, leading analysts to speculate about upcoming policies. The landscape may still shift as the Biden administration faces challenges in navigating its own trade strategies while grappling with a divided public opinion regarding tariffs and trade.The Supreme Court's decision highlights the ongoing importance of checks and balances within our government. For citizens and business owners alike, staying informed is crucial as we navigate these changes together. The economic landscape is adapted not just by rulings in court but by active participation and engagement in community discussion about what our trade policies mean for our everyday lives.

02.20.2026

Navigating Alternative Tobacco Product Taxes: What to Expect This Year

Update Changing Landscape of Tobacco Products In 2026, consumers can expect a surge of choices in alternatives to traditional tobacco products. With a notable departure from combustible cigarettes, oral pouches, vapes, and heated tobacco products (HTPs) are now receiving approval from the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for sale in the U.S. This shift represents a significant change in how nicotine is consumed, with newer products promising reduced harm compared to conventional cigarettes. The Challenge of Taxation This newfound accessibility comes with complex considerations for taxation. While states have established rules for taxing cigarettes, the emergence of alternative tobacco products (ATPs) complicates matters. Many ATPs, such as e-cigarettes and oral pouches, do not contain tobacco, thus falling outside the traditional tax framework. HTPs, which do contain tobacco, pose their own challenges as state governments weigh the implications of taxing less harmful alternatives at the same rate as more harmful products. Current State of Tax Legislation As we enter 2026, many states are contemplating or enacting new tax bills focused on ATPs. For instance, Delaware Governor Matt Meyer has proposed increasing taxes on vapor products to $0.10 per milliliter. Meanwhile, Nebraska’s LB 1238 seeks to standardize the excise tax across various nicotine products at 30% of wholesale costs, potentially marking a tax hike for ATPs. New York is also working to expand its definition of OTPs, which could lead to notable tax increases for modern oral pouches. Funding Public Health Initiatives Increasing taxes on tobacco products not only contributes to state revenues but can also play a crucial role in funding essential public health programs. A report highlighted the benefits of raising tobacco taxes by $1.50 per pack, projecting that states could collectively prevent hundreds of thousands of youths from starting to smoke and help millions of adults quit. Moreover, the revenue generated could support programs aimed at educating the public about the risks of tobacco use. Future Predictions for ATP Taxation The landscape of alternative tobacco product taxation is poised to evolve rapidly as states adapt to these new products. Policymakers are encouraged to consider tiered tax structures that reflect the relative harm of different products, which could incentivize consumers to make healthier choices. As the market for ATPs continues to grow, aligning tax policies with public health goals will be essential for minimizing the health risks associated with tobacco use. The discussions surrounding ATP taxation are critical in shaping a healthier future. Engaging in these conversations can lead to more informed and balanced public policies that address both revenue generation and health improvements.

02.19.2026

Exploring European Geoeconomics: The Future of International Tax Policy

Update Understanding Geoeconomics: Europe's Strategic Shift As the world grapples with complex economic challenges, Europe is navigating its own path under increased pressure from global powers. In a recent speech, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen stated the necessity for Europe to adopt a 'new mindset' in response to economic coercion from nations like China, Russia, and the U.S. This reflects a shift towards leveraging Europe’s geoeconomic weight, encouraging a more cohesive approach to international trade and tax policy. The Impact of Geoeconomics on International Relations This new era of geoeconomics highlights the interplay between economic strategy and international relations. The EU aims to redefine its policies to influence global standards, seen through initiatives like the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and digital services taxes (DST). These policies are not just protective measures but are strategically designed to reshape global economic interactions to align with European standards, encouraging other nations to adopt similar frameworks. Challenges and Opportunities Ahead However, Europe's ambitions face significant challenges. The reaction from the United States, particularly under recent administrations, has often involved threats of tariffs and retaliatory measures against perceived unfair treatment of American companies. This tension raises a critical question: Is the cost of implementing such a geoeconomic strategy outweighed by its potential benefits? The path forward requires balancing these strategies with the realities of their economic impact on consumers and businesses within Europe. The Need for Renewed Focus on Domestic Growth As von der Leyen emphasized, Europe must also prioritize its internal economic health. A renewed commitment to strengthening domestic economies could provide the foundation necessary for a robust external strategy. By ensuring that local industries thrive, Europe can better position itself on the global stage. This intertwined relationship between domestic prosperity and international influence is crucial in crafting future tax policies that work for all member states. Final Thoughts on Geoeconomic Policy In conclusion, Europe’s journey towards employing its geoeconomic power offers valuable lessons for both policymakers and economists. As countries maneuver through rising tensions and shifting alliances, the focus should ultimately be on sustainable growth that benefits local communities and strengthens the transatlantic relationship. By acknowledging the interconnectedness of domestic and international economies, Europe can lead in redefining what it means to play a dominant role in global economics. If you are interested in understanding how these developments in European geoeconomics could affect international tax policies and trade relationships, stay engaged with ongoing discussions and analyses in this dynamic field.

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