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 Kozi Checks & Balances TaxTactics News 
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March 13.2025
3 Minutes Read

Congress Faces Critical Decisions on US International Corporate Tax Reforms

International flags waving under a clear sky symbolizing global unity in tax reforms.

The Future of US International Corporate Tax Policy

As we navigate through 2025, Congress is faced with the monumental task of addressing international corporate tax reforms largely influenced by the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) of 2017. International tax policy in the United States has evolved significantly since then, aiming to foster competitiveness while protecting the tax base from foreign profit-shifting. However, scheduled changes in tax provisions and global agreements, particularly the OECD's Pillar Two initiative, call into question the effectiveness of existing policies.

Waning Benefits of the Pillar Two Agreement

The Pillar Two agreement sets a global minimum tax rate of 15%, aimed at curbing aggressive tax competition among nations. Unfortunately, many believe this initiative may offer limited advantages for the US due to its distinct economic landscape. Unlike smaller economies that rely on low tax rates to attract business, the US is less sensitive to profit shifting due to its substantial domestic market and robust multinational corporations.

As highlighted in a bipartisan analysis, the projected revenue impact from these TCJA tax changes through 2027 sits at an impressive +$324 billion overall. However, the specifics of policies like Global Intangible Low-Taxed Income (GILTI) and Foreign-Derived Intangible Income (FDII) raise critical questions about their long-term viability. Anticipated tax rate increases could potentially negate what little revenue these areas have generated.

Stress Testing the TCJA Reforms

Since its inception, the TCJA's reform of international corporate income tax has emphasized the dual goals of attracting domestic and foreign investments while addressing tax avoidance strategies. Yet new studies reveal modifications under the TCJA, including GILTI and Base Erosion and Anti-Abuse Tax (BEAT), could inadvertently hinder cross-border investments. These provisions, originally thought to simplify compliance, are proving complex and costly for businesses, further complicating the tax landscape.

Looking Forward: Legislative Opportunities

As lawmakers consider an overhaul of these tax codes, it becomes increasingly vital to engage stakeholders in both the public and private sectors. The conversations around these reforms need to ensure a balanced approach that not only enhances competitiveness but also creates a tax system that encourages fair investment in both domestic and international markets.

Engaging with local communities is more important than ever. Understanding how these taxes affect grassroots businesses and the economy can shape a fairer and more effective tax policy. Policymakers must navigate these challenges thoughtfully, referring to the lessons learned from past reforms while proactively addressing the evolving economic environment.

Implications of Policy Changes

Ultimately, any adjustments to the international tax system will ripple through the economy, affecting local businesses and the communities they support. The importance of fostering an environment where businesses can thrive cannot be overstated. It is essential that we maintain a clear line of communication throughout these discussions to balance the various needs and priorities of all stakeholders.

As we approach these pivotal tax reforms, we invite our readers and community members to stay informed about the changes that may impact them and reach out to local representatives with their perspectives and needs. Engaging in this dialogue is crucial for building a tax system that truly benefits all.

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10.30.2025

Illinois Unrealized Gains Tax: Rapid Legislation with Huge Consequences

Update Unrealized Gains Tax: A Controversial Proposal on the Fast Track In the midst of a hectic legislative session, Illinois lawmakers have taken the unusual step of pushing forward the Extremely High Wealth Mark-to-Market Tax Act, set to impose a 4.95% tax on unrealized gains of billionaires. This tax, which targets assets that haven’t been sold and thus aren’t liquid cash, could have a profound impact not just on wealth distribution but also on the state’s economy moving forward. The Mechanics of the Proposed Tax This proposal aims to tax a wide range of assets, including stocks, bonds, and even stakes in private businesses. Billionaires would be required to pay taxes annually on these assets based on their current market value, regardless of whether they’ve made any actual profit from selling them. Consider a tech entrepreneur who has a company worth over a billion dollars; if that’s on paper but the business isn’t yet profitable, they would still owe taxes on that paper wealth. This raises significant questions about liquidity and the real financial strain such a tax might impose on business owners. How Does This Affect Investment? The swift passage of this legislation in under 48 hours could precipitate a seismic shift in investment dynamics in Illinois. With the possibility of taxing paper gains, wealthier residents may be incentivized to relocate to states with less burdensome tax regimes. Already, experts anticipate that a significant uptick in taxpayer migration could follow the enactment of the unrealized gains tax, further depleting state revenues over the long run. Moreover, businesses may curtail their growth initiatives out of fear that new taxes could outpace their earnings. A Complex Taxation System The Illinois constitution prohibits taxing personal property, meaning that this tax is being presented as an income tax. Many argue that while capital gains are typically viewed as income once realized, taxing them before they are even sold introduces a host of complications—not least of which is that it could lead to over-taxation due to inflation. Essentially, taxpayers would be charged on gains that haven't yet been realized as income, a move that has never been employed in any tax system globally. With intrinsic challenges in assessing the real value of privately held and intangible assets, the tax collectors could face substantial difficulties in the practical administration of this tax. Community Impact and Future Implications This proposed tax, while targeting billionaires, could have unforeseen consequences for local communities and the economy at large. Wealthy residents contribute significantly to state and local revenues. Should they choose to relocate, not only could the state see a drop in significant tax revenues, it might also impact charitable contributions and community investments that help many grassroots initiatives thrive. Conclusion: Why You Should Care The implications of the mark-to-market tax in Illinois extend beyond the state’s billionaires. This taxation model could redefine economic engagement and investment strategies. Understanding these changes is crucial for residents who might be affected directly or indirectly. If you're invested in Illinois' economic future, keep a close eye on this critical discussion, as the implications of this proposed tax could alter the local landscape for years to come.

10.24.2025

Texas Proposition 9 Seeks to Empower Small Businesses with Tax Exemption

Update Texas Proposition 9: A Step Toward Empowering Small BusinessIn the realm of property taxes, growing concerns over the burdens placed on local businesses have prompted innovative legislative actions. A significant focus is now on Texas Proposition 9, which aims to amend the state constitution to increase the personal property tax exemption to $125,000 for small businesses. This measure reflects a growing recognition of the need to support small and mid-sized businesses, a vital segment of Texas's economy.Understanding the Impact of Personal Property TaxesProperty taxes are a primary funding source for state and local governments in the U.S., assisting in financing essential services such as education and public safety. However, the taxation of personal property, which includes tangible items like equipment and machinery, places an additional burden on businesses, particularly smaller entities without extensive resources.Bridging the Gap: Reducing Compliance BurdensThe current Texas law allows only a small exemption of $2,500 for business personal property. By moving to a more generous $125,000 exemption, Proposition 9 aims to alleviate the intricate compliance requirements and costs that small businesses often cannot afford. As highlighted in a study from Connecticut, such exemptions can profoundly impact businesses: a mere $10,000 exemption could relieve 46% of businesses while minimally affecting overall tax revenues.Lessons from Other StatesSimilar reforms in states like Indiana and Rhode Island have paved the way for Texas to consider more competitive tax structures. Indiana's recent increase in its tangible personal property exemption from $20,000 to $40,000 saw significant relief without greatly affecting tax revenues. These examples illustrate the potential benefits of amending Texas's tax framework to favor small businesses.Conclusion: A Promising Vote AheadThe impending vote on Proposition 9, set for November 4, 2025, encourages voters to consider the vital role small businesses play in the state's economy. By voting in favor of this measure, Texans have an opportunity to ease the financial burdens on local businesses, fostering an environment where they can thrive and contribute more dynamically to their communities. This initiative not only aims to boost the economy but also to strengthen the fabric of Texas's local communities.

10.23.2025

Exploring the Impact of OBBBA on America's Progressive Tax System

Update The Progressive Shift of the Tax Landscape Post-OBBBA The recent passing of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) has brought notable changes to the U.S. federal tax system, marking a pivotal moment in tax policy that emphasizes a more progressive approach. This legislation not only modifies existing tax structures but also signals a broader commitment to redistributing wealth across different income levels. Increased After-Tax Income for Most Taxpayers The OBBBA has been designed to benefit taxpayers across the income spectrum, with projections indicating that after-tax incomes for various groups will see upticks in the coming years. For instance, on average, taxpayers can expect a 2.9 percent increase in 2025 and a 5.4 percent increase in 2026 in their after-tax income due to the new provisions, which include the permanence of individual tax cuts introduced in the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). However, the benefit is not uniform. While higher-income earners in the top quintile will see gains, their increases will taper compared to middle and lower-income earners. For example, the fourth quintile is expected to experience a 6.3 percent increase by 2026, while the top quintile will only see a rise of 5.0 percent. This trend emphasizes the OBBBA's design as a progressive tax reform aimed at enhancing economic equity. Redistribution Through New Deductions The OBBBA also introduces new deductions aimed at specific demographic groups, including seniors and workers receiving overtime pay and tips. These provisions are significant in maintaining a degree of equity within the tax system, as they target relief for various lower and middle-income brackets. Such targeted measures ensure that the benefits of the tax reforms reach those who may be more economically vulnerable, reflecting the overarching goal of wealth redistribution. Complications Arise Amid Progressive Intent However, the OBBBA also adds layers of complexity to the tax system. While simplifying some elements of the tax code by making previous cuts permanent, it also complicates others, particularly in terms of new deductions and credits, resulting in potentially increased compliance costs for taxpayers. As states analyze their tax structures in light of OBBBA, many will need to make adjustments that could lead to confusion and inconsistency among state tax codes. Taxpayers across the nation must now stay informed about these changes and their implications for both federal and state tax requirements. Activating individuals and businesses on the importance of understanding these modifications can result in greater engagement and compliance within the community. Ultimately, while the OBBBA’s intent appears geared towards nurturing a fairer tax landscape, its execution may necessitate significant navigation for taxpayers. Concluding Thoughts on the OBBBA’s Impact The heart of the OBBBA revolves around its progressive ambitions; it could signal a renewed focus on supporting the middle and lower classes while also emphasizing the need for clarity and consistency within tax frameworks. As this law continues to shape the economic landscape, both state and federal policymakers will have to ensure that the complexity introduced does not overshadow the beneficial aspects of a more equitable tax system.

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